[Bitop Review] Bitcoin Exposure Exceeds Safety Margin – S&P Downgrades USDT to Lowest Stablecoin Rating
2025年11月27日发布
Credit rating agency S&P Global has downgraded Tether’s USDT stability assessment to 5, the lowest level in its scale. S&P Global Ratings pointed out that the proportion of high-risk assets in USDT reserves has risen while transparency remains inadequate, and warned that the stablecoin no longer has sufficient buffer to absorb a Bitcoin decline.
How S&P Rates Stablecoins
S&P began rating stablecoins at the end of 2023. The methodology first focuses on asset-quality risk (credit, market, and custody risk), then examines excess collateral requirements and liquidation mechanisms. Scores range from 1 (strong) to 5 (weak). After the asset-quality assessment, S&P makes adjustments based on five additional areas — governance, legal & regulatory framework, redeemability & liquidity, technology & third-party dependencies, and track record — to arrive at the final 1–5 score. When the framework was first applied, USDT received a 4.
Bitcoin and Other Risk Assets Rise → USDT Downgraded to Worst-in-Class Rating 5
S&P has lowered USDT’s stability rating from the previous “4 (Constrained)” to “5 (Weak)”. The agency stated that the assessment reflects a significant increases over the past year in high-risk assets held in reserves — including Bitcoin, gold, secured loans, and corporate bonds — combined with insufficient disclosure.
Bitcoin alone now accounts for approximately 5.6% of USDT’s circulating supply, exceeding the 3.9% excess collateral safety margin. This means the reserves can no longer fully absorb a Bitcoin price drop. A decline in the value of Bitcoin and other high-risk assets could reduce overall reserve coverage and cause USDT to become under-collateralized.

Additional weaknesses include:
Limited information provided by Tether about the credit quality of its custodians, counterparties, or banking partners.
Insufficient reserve-management transparency.
Lack of asset segregation in case of issuer bankruptcy.
Restrictions on direct redemptions of USDT through Tether itself.
Tether CEO: “We Wear Your Loathing With Pride.”
Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino reacted with strong dissatisfaction, sarcastically declaring “We wear your loathing with pride.”He posted on X:

USDC Retains Second-Best Rating; Most Stablecoins Still Rank Higher Than USDT
Apart from Circle’s USDC and EURC, which continue to hold the second-highest “2 (Strong)” rating, S&P’s current stablecoin ratings are:
2- Strong:EURC、USDC、GUSD、USDP
3-Adequate :EURCv、USDM
4- Constrained:FDUSD、USDS、DAI
5- Weak:USDT、TUSD、FRAX、USDe
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